CategorySummary of Key PointsOverall ThesisThe restructuring plan will save Wolfspeed as a company but will effectively wipe out existing shareholders. The key to success is operational execution (improving factory yields), not market demand.Restructuring Plan- Senior Debt: Will be paid down or rolled into new debt, recovering ~100%.- Unsecured Creditors: Will receive 95% of the new company's equity plus new notes.- Legacy Shareholders: Will receive only 3-5% of the new equity, resulting in a de minimis recovery.Valuation- The author estimates the value of the reorganized equity at $0.6 - $2.5 billion.- This implies a value for legacy shares of $0.12 - $0.80 per share, which is mostly below the current price of $0.90.Financials- Cash on Hand: $1.3 billion.- Cash Burn: ~$350 million projected free cash deficit in FY26 after cost-cutting.- Outlook: The company can survive until FY27 without new capital if the Mohawk Valley factory ramp-up is successful.Key Risks- Execution: Failure to improve production yield at the Mohawk Valley fab.- Funding: Political risk to the paused $750m CHIPS Act grant.- Competition: Increased SiC capacity from competitors like Infineon, ST, and ON Semi.- Demand: Pressure on chip prices, highlighted by Tesla's plan to reduce SiC use.Key Strengths- Technology: A lead in 200mm wafer technology and production.- Diversification: Growing business in non-automotive sectors like solar and data centers.- Governance: Strong oversight from new creditor-owners (Apollo, Renesas) who will hold board seats.Investment Ideas- Attractive: The new 2nd-lien convertible debt is seen as the best way to invest, offering an attractive entry point.- Unattractive: The legacy stock (WOLF) is considered a poor risk/reward, with a recommendation to short it.- Pairs Trade: Long ON Semi / Short ST Microelectronics to bet on superior execution in the SiC space.Upcoming CatalystsKey events to watch include the creditor vote results (mid-July), court hearings (early Aug), Mohawk Valley utilization hitting 40% (Q1 FY26), and the CHIPS funding deadline (Dec 31, 2025)., Wolfspeed Inc., a chipmaker caught in President Donald Trump’s push to reshape Biden-era tech subsidies, filed bankruptcy to enact a creditor-backed plan to slash $4.6 billion in debt., Semiconductor maker Wolfspeed Inc. filed for Chapter 11 protection in Texas bankruptcy court Monday with a plan supported by its senior lenders to slash about $4.6 billion of debt and emerge from .